Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000173 0.000192 0.000213 0.000236 0.000263 0.000292 0.000326
2025-03-30 0.000143 0.000171 0.000204 0.000246 0.000298 0.000359 0.000440
2025-04-06 0.000118 0.000149 0.000188 0.000241 0.000310 0.000400 0.000526
2025-04-13 0.000098 0.000129 0.000170 0.000228 0.000310 0.000421 0.000587
2025-04-20 0.000088 0.000120 0.000164 0.000229 0.000325 0.000463 0.000682
2025-04-27 0.000081 0.000114 0.000161 0.000234 0.000346 0.000515 0.000798
2025-05-04 0.000073 0.000107 0.000155 0.000233 0.000357 0.000552 0.000895
2025-05-11 0.000068 0.000101 0.000152 0.000235 0.000372 0.000598 0.001014
2025-05-18 0.000063 0.000095 0.000146 0.000233 0.000381 0.000634 0.001119
2025-05-25 0.000058 0.000090 0.000142 0.000231 0.000390 0.000671 0.001232
2025-06-01 0.000054 0.000085 0.000136 0.000229 0.000396 0.000703 0.001338
2025-06-08 0.000049 0.000079 0.000129 0.000220 0.000392 0.000714 0.001406
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000076 0.000127 0.000222 0.000407 0.000767 0.001573
2025-06-22 0.000044 0.000075 0.000127 0.000230 0.000434 0.000849 0.001820
2025-06-29 0.000041 0.000070 0.000122 0.000225 0.000436 0.000877 0.001954
2025-07-06 0.000037 0.000064 0.000113 0.000213 0.000423 0.000874 0.002012
2025-07-13 0.000035 0.000062 0.000111 0.000214 0.000436 0.000928 0.002220
2025-07-20 0.000034 0.000060 0.000111 0.000218 0.000457 0.001006 0.002507
2025-07-27 0.000032 0.000058 0.000108 0.000217 0.000466 0.001054 0.002724
2025-08-03 0.000030 0.000056 0.000107 0.000219 0.000481 0.001122 0.003013
2025-08-10 0.000029 0.000054 0.000104 0.000217 0.000489 0.001170 0.003255
2025-08-17 0.000027 0.000052 0.000102 0.000216 0.000497 0.001221 0.003519
2025-08-24 0.000026 0.000050 0.000099 0.000213 0.000501 0.001262 0.003762